Wilmott

How I Successfully Forecast The Result Of The EU Referendum

24 June 2016 Paul Comments Off

Gosh, this is embarrassing. I seem to have done the double. This is a sequel to my blog from last year How I Successfully Forecast The Results Of The UK General Election. A few days […]

A Proper Analysis Of The EU Referendum Polls

22 June 2016 Paul Comments Off

I’ve been following the polling with obsessive interest. And finding the analysis somewhat feeble. I’m going to very quickly address the topic of polls of polls, then present my own analysis. This referendum is significantly […]

Things That Haven’t Been Said About The EU Referendum

20 June 2016 Paul Comments Off

Debate? Debate?? They don’t know the meaning of debate! The two sides have both in their own ways been like broken records. The same old arguments with made-up stuff passed off as facts. Now obviously […]

Why I And All My Rich Pals Are Voting To Stay In The EU

8 June 2016 Paul Comments Off

I’m relatively rich. I can afford private healthcare. I don’t have to worry about long waiting lists for operations or the impossibility of getting an appointment with my GP. If I or my rich friends […]

The Only Question You Need To Ask About The EU Referendum

31 May 2016 Paul 0

Leicester City are still five points clear at the top of the Premier League. They are by no means a dead cert to win, there’s time left for a collapse in skill, confidence or pure […]

Back Of The Queue, Mr President?

24 April 2016 Paul 0

Shortly after the Queen’s 90th birthday, and the day before St George’s Day and the 400th anniversary of the death of Shakespeare, Barack Obama visits the UK and makes open threats about trade between the […]

The EU Debate and Averages

12 October 2015 Paul 0

Don’t you hate it when you hear that the EU costs/benefits each UK citizen £x per annum? They make it sound like everyone pays/gets exactly the same every year, like either a personal membership fee […]

How I Successfully Forecast The Results Of The UK General Election 2015

14 May 2015 Paul 0

Here’s the start of the paper I’ve just written on forecasting the UK General Election (rather easy for a quant, much easier than valuing a CDO!), and lectured on for the CQF yesterday. The lecture […]

Now is the Perfect Time to Raise Interest Rates

13 January 2015 Paul Comments Off

UK inflation is at a 15-year low, 0.5% in December. This has been caused in part by the sudden plummet in oil prices, lower food prices, and also the high gas and electricity prices from […]

You Naughty Spies

29 January 2014 Paul 0

I’d like to share statistics that I recently discovered after installing the Ghostery privacy tool, used for finding and blocking trackers on websites.There’s been a lot in the news about Edward Snowden and his information […]