Articles

Forecasting the Yield Curve with S-Plus

10th December 2018 admin 0

Methods capable of forecasting the entire yield curve based on a time series extension of the Nelson-Siegel model Nelson and Siegel (1987) were suggested in the literature and compared to the non-parametric alternatives Diebold and […]

Articles

Amaranthus Extermino

26th November 2018 admin 0

On September 19, 2006 the hedge fund Amaranth Advisors of Greenwich, Connecticut announced that it had lost $6 billion, about two thirds of the $9.25 billion fund in less than two weeks, largely because it […]

Articles

Poker as a Lottery

29th October 2018 admin 0

Doyle Brunson , two-time winner of the World Series of Poker main event, has likened a poker tournament to a lottery in which more skilled players (like himself) hold more tickets than less skilled players […]

Articles

Building Your Wings on the Way Down

15th October 2018 admin 0

Ray Bradbury famously defined “living at risk” as jumping off a cliff and building your wings on the way down. Too many financial risk managers who came late to the field think of risk as […]

Articles

Internal LGD Estimation in Practice

1st October 2018 admin 0

Driven by a competitive market and motivated by the new Basel Capital Accord (Basel II), banks have put a lot of effort into development and improvement of their methods to assess the  creditworthiness of their […]

Articles

Finformatics: How to Measure Really Small Things

20th August 2018 admin 0

Traders in financial assets implicitly compare the trading price to the stream of dividends the assets stand to generate. Clearly, a key determinant of value—usually the key determinant— will be the long-term drift or rate […]

Articles

A VaR-based Model for the Yield Curve

6th August 2018 Editor 0

An intuitive model for the yield curve, based on the notion of value-at-risk, is presented. It leads to interest rates that hedge against potential losses incurred from holding an underlying risky security until maturity. This […]

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