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The Volatility Smile Problem: From Within
In the following, I will say what the smile problem is, and I am not sure everyone will follow me. This is how deeply and how long I’ve been thinking about the smile problem. I’ve […]
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Close Encounters Of The Third Order
The 1977 science fiction movie Close Encounters of the Third Kind was written and directed by Steven Spielberg. The title is derived from the classification by Hynek for close encounters with aliens, in which the […]
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Volatility Voodoo
How do I love thee? Let me count the ways. I love thee to the depth and breadth and height My soul can reach, when feeling out of sight. . . I love thee with […]
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Gambler’s Ruin
The term “gambler’s ruin” is used for a number of statistical ideas whose common denominator is predicting the eventual outcome of a series of repeated bets. There are some beautiful and counterintuitive results in which […]
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What Will History Make of Brexit?
Asked what was the most difficult thing about his job, British Prime Minister Harold Macmillan is reputed to have replied: “Events, dear boy, events.” Brexit may be one such event. The only known fact is […]
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Statistiks
The English word is taken from the German statistik, which was invented by Gottfried Aschenwall and used in his 1748 work Vorbereitung zur Staatswissenschaft. Aschenwall’s statistiks had nothing to do with either numbers or probability. […]
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Poker as a Lottery
Doyle Brunson , two-time winner of the World Series of Poker main event, has likened a poker tournament to a lottery in which more skilled players (like himself) hold more tickets than less skilled players […]
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A Markovian Model of Default Interactions: Comments and Extensions
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Wilmott 100: Paul Wilmott Waxes Nostalgic
Wilmott Magazine reached the milestone of 100 issues with the publication of the March 2019 edition. What better time then to delve into the history of the magazine, the changes in quantitative finance over the […]
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Wilmott 100: “Why’s it Square?”
Wilmott Magazine reaches 100 issues this month. Having realized the milestone might have some significance Paul Wilmott and Dan Tudball recently sat down with Randeep Gug of the CQF to delve into the history of […]