The term “gambler’s ruin” is used for a number of statistical ideas whose common denominator is predicting the eventual outcome of a series of repeated bets. There are some beautiful and counterintuitive results in which […]
On September 19, 2006 the hedge fund Amaranth Advisors of Greenwich, Connecticut announced that it had lost $6 billion, about two thirds of the $9.25 billion fund in less than two weeks, largely because it […]
Ray Bradbury famously defined “living at risk” as jumping off a cliff and building your wings on the way down. Too many financial risk managers who came late to the field think of risk as […]