Gosh, this is embarrassing. I seem to have done the double. This is a sequel to my blog from last year How I Successfully Forecast The Results Of The UK General Election. A few days […]
I’ve been following the polling with obsessive interest. And finding the analysis somewhat feeble. I’m going to very quickly address the topic of polls of polls, then present my own analysis. This referendum is significantly […]
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Here’s the start of the paper I’ve just written on forecasting the UK General Election (rather easy for a quant, much easier than valuing a CDO!), and lectured on for the CQF yesterday. The lecture […]
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