Implied Probability of Bail-In

6th May 2020 Editor 0

CoCo (Contingent Convertible) or AT1 (Additional Tier 1) Bonds have been receiving some attention recently due to a confluence of factors. In no particular order these include the fact that $40bn worth of contracts are […]


Forecasting the Yield Curve with S-Plus

10th December 2018 Editor 0

Methods capable of forecasting the entire yield curve based on a time series extension of the Nelson-Siegel model Nelson and Siegel (1987) were suggested in the literature and compared to the non-parametric alternatives Diebold and […]


A VaR-based Model for the Yield Curve

6th August 2018 Editor 0

An intuitive model for the yield curve, based on the notion of value-at-risk, is presented. It leads to interest rates that hedge against potential losses incurred from holding an underlying risky security until maturity. This […]