Gambler’s Ruin
The term “gambler’s ruin” is used for a number of statistical ideas whose common denominator is predicting the eventual outcome of a series of repeated bets. There are some beautiful and counterintuitive results in which […]
The term “gambler’s ruin” is used for a number of statistical ideas whose common denominator is predicting the eventual outcome of a series of repeated bets. There are some beautiful and counterintuitive results in which […]
The English word is taken from the German statistik, which was invented by Gottfried Aschenwall and used in his 1748 work Vorbereitung zur Staatswissenschaft. Aschenwall’s statistiks had nothing to do with either numbers or probability. […]
Ray Bradbury famously defined “living at risk” as jumping off a cliff and building your wings on the way down. Too many financial risk managers who came late to the field think of risk as […]
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