Paul's Blog
Misinterpreting The Evidence
I saw a news story recently saying something like there are more germs on your iPhone than on a toilet seat. From which we conclude what? We are told to conclude that this is really […]
Paul’s Blog
Paul's Blog
Where Do You Keep Your Offshore Money?
Where do you keep your offshore money? The media is all upset about celebs, politicians, etc. having money in various offshore places, in order to avoid taxes. Naturally, and totally expectedly, this is very hypocritical […]
Paul's Blog
Bloomberg View Columnist Barry Ritholtz Interviews Paul Wilmott
Listen to Barry Ritholtz interview Paul Wilmott about quantitative finance, mathematical modelling, reputational risk, Tom Cruise, JK Rowling, Billy Jones and the ukulele, among many other things: Here
Paul's Blog
Boris Johnson, Yanis Varoufakis And Sir Vince Cable All Have Something In Common
Boris Johnson, Yanis Varoufakis and Sir Vince Cable all have something in common…. All three have been in the news lately with their interpretations of events surrounding Brexit and the Negotiations. You’d think that three […]
Paul's Blog
Webcast – Paul Wilmott On “The Money Formula”
Paul recently gave a talk in downtown Manhattan about his new book, co-authored with David Orrell, The Money Formula. Other topics get dragged in along the way… To say that the talk is wide ranging […]
Paul's Blog
Jeremy Corbyn: My Part In His Ascent
First, disclosure: I am rather right wing, from the school of “take some of my income in taxes but otherwise leave me alone, please.” And as a general rule I believe that the Conservatives are the […]
Paul's Blog
The Money Formula – New Book By Paul Wilmott And David Orrell
The Money Formula: Dodgy Finance, Pseudo Science, and How Mathematicians Took Over the Markets OUT NOW!!! Explore the deadly elegance of finance’s hidden powerhouse The Money Formula takes you inside the engine room of the […]
Paul's Blog
Ed Thorp: A Man For All Markets
The book we’ve been waiting for, the full story of Ed Thorp’s career in mathematics, science, gambling, and finance. An inspiration for us mortals. From Amazon: The incredible true story of the card-counting mathematics professor […]
Paul's Blog
We have adjusted our estimate of Mark Carney’s IQ
In August The Bank of England forecast growth in the UK in 2017 to be 0.8%. They have now adjusted that forecast to 2%. That’s a factor of 2.5. Accordingly our forecast of Mark Carney’s […]
Paul's Blog
Mark Carney To Join Strictly Come Dancing
Will Young leaving “Strictly Come Dancing” early has left a vacancy. We can report that Mark Carney is in line to be his replacement. The clues were all there. Was Mervyn King ever seen at a […]